Reform party’s rise in Scotland poses challenge for SNP and Tories

Local elections signal a potential shift in Scottish political landscape as Reform gains support.

The political landscape in Scotland is witnessing a significant transformation as the Reform party gains traction, particularly in regions like Aberdeenshire. Recent electoral successes, including a notable byelection in Fraserburgh, have positioned the party as a formidable contender, raising alarms among established parties such as the SNP and the Conservatives.

Electoral successes signal a shift

Local businessman Conrad Ritchie emerged as a key figure for the Reform party, capturing over a quarter of the vote in the recent Fraserburgh byelection.

This surge follows the defection of two former Conservative council members to Reform, indicating a growing discontent with traditional political affiliations. Additionally, a Westminster election candidate’s impressive 15% showing on their first attempt underscores the party’s rising influence.

Polls suggest that Reform could secure up to 12 seats in the next Scottish Parliament election, potentially outperforming the Greens and the Liberal Democrats. This prospect has sparked discussions about the sustainability of Reform’s momentum leading up to 2026.

Local leaders advocate for change

Ritchie, buoyed by his recent success, is optimistic about the party’s future in the north-east, asserting that a third Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) is within reach. He emphasizes the party’s rapid growth from obscurity to a solid political foundation, viewing their entry into parliament as a pivotal moment for Scottish politics.

Jo Hart, a former nurse and midwife, also made waves by securing 14% of the vote in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East during the Westminster election. Hart’s grassroots efforts, including chairing three local branches, reflect a growing momentum within the party. She notes that discontent with mainstream parties, particularly regarding policies on fishing, farming, and energy, is driving voters toward Reform.

Voter disillusionment and Reform’s appeal

Insiders within the Reform party attribute their rise to widespread dissatisfaction with the status quo. Many voters express frustration over perceived losses in community and livelihood, particularly in light of the government’s net-zero policies that shift focus from traditional energy sources to renewables. Ritchie highlights that the party is resonating with a diverse voter base, drawing support not only from disenchanted Conservatives but also from Labour and SNP supporters.

Despite controversies surrounding party leader Nigel Farage, who is often labeled as far-right due to his immigration rhetoric, local sources assert that Reform is not an extremist party. Ritchie clarifies that their stance is right of center, focusing on issues like illegal migration while distancing themselves from accusations of racism.

The evolving political dynamics in Scotland, marked by Reform’s unexpected rise, suggest a potential realignment of voter loyalties. As the party continues to gain ground, the implications for the SNP and Tories could be profound, challenging their long-held dominance in Scottish politics.